Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.000138 0.000152 0.000168 0.000185 0.000205 0.000227 0.000252
2025-06-15 0.000111 0.000132 0.000157 0.000187 0.000224 0.000268 0.000325
2025-06-22 0.000097 0.000121 0.000151 0.000191 0.000243 0.000309 0.000401
2025-06-29 0.000083 0.000108 0.000141 0.000186 0.000249 0.000334 0.000458
2025-07-06 0.000072 0.000097 0.000130 0.000178 0.000248 0.000347 0.000500
2025-07-13 0.000065 0.000091 0.000126 0.000179 0.000259 0.000377 0.000568
2025-07-20 0.000061 0.000087 0.000124 0.000182 0.000272 0.000411 0.000647
2025-07-27 0.000056 0.000082 0.000119 0.000180 0.000279 0.000435 0.000714
2025-08-03 0.000053 0.000079 0.000118 0.000183 0.000292 0.000471 0.000803
2025-08-10 0.000049 0.000074 0.000113 0.000181 0.000296 0.000492 0.000870
2025-08-17 0.000045 0.000070 0.000110 0.000179 0.000301 0.000516 0.000944
2025-08-24 0.000042 0.000066 0.000106 0.000176 0.000303 0.000534 0.001009
2025-08-31 0.000038 0.000062 0.000100 0.000170 0.000300 0.000542 0.001060
2025-09-07 0.000036 0.000059 0.000099 0.000172 0.000312 0.000582 0.001183
2025-09-14 0.000035 0.000058 0.000098 0.000175 0.000327 0.000631 0.001333
2025-09-21 0.000032 0.000055 0.000094 0.000171 0.000328 0.000650 0.001421
2025-09-28 0.000029 0.000051 0.000089 0.000164 0.000321 0.000651 0.001467
2025-10-05 0.000028 0.000049 0.000087 0.000165 0.000330 0.000688 0.001607
2025-10-12 0.000027 0.000048 0.000087 0.000167 0.000343 0.000736 0.001783
2025-10-19 0.000026 0.000046 0.000084 0.000166 0.000348 0.000766 0.001917
2025-10-26 0.000025 0.000045 0.000084 0.000168 0.000361 0.000817 0.002120
2025-11-02 0.000023 0.000043 0.000081 0.000166 0.000363 0.000843 0.002255
2025-11-09 0.000022 0.000041 0.000079 0.000165 0.000368 0.000873 0.002411